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Predictive Policing

Predictive policing encompasses the surveillance technologies, tools, and methods employed to visualize crime, target “at-risk” individuals and groups, map physical locations, track digital communications, and collect data on individuals and communities.


Latest

  • Targeted: Pasco’s sheriff created a futuristic program to stop crime before it happens. It monitors and harasses families across the county.
    Kathleen McGrory and Neil Bedi
     
  • Scars, Tattoos, And License Plates: This Is What Palantir And The LAPD Know About You
    Caroline Haskins
     
  • It’s Time for a Reckoning About This Foundational Piece of Police Technology
    Rashida Richardson and Amba Kak
     
  • Data-Informed Predictive Policing Was Heralded as Less Biased. Is It?
    Annie Gilbertson
 

Key Scholarship

  • Garbage In, Gospel Out: How Data-Driven Policing Technologies Entrench Historic Racism and 'Tech-Wash' Bias in the Criminal Legal System (2021)
    Wendy Lee, Jumana Musa, Michael Pinard
  • Dirty Data, Bad Predictions: How Civil Rights Violations Impact Police Data, Predictive Policing Systems, and Justice (2019)
    Rashida Richardson, Jason Schultz, Kate Crawford
     
  • Gang Takedowns in the De Blasio Era: The Dangers of Precision Policing (2019)
    The Policing & Social Justice Project
     
  • Before the Bullet Hits the Body – Dismantling Predictive Policing in Los Angeles (2018)
    Stop LAPD Spying Coalition
     
  • Artificial Intelligence and Policing: Hints in the Carpenter Decision (2018)
    Elizabeth Joh
     
  • Big Data Surveillance: The Case of Policing (2017)
    ​Sarah Brayne
     
  • Tracked and Targeted: Early Findings on Chicago’s Gang Database (2017)
    The Policing in Chicago Research Group
     
  • Stuck in a Pattern: Early Evidence on "Predictive Policing" and Civil Rights (2016)
    Upturn
     
  • Predictions put into practice: A quasi-experimental evaluation of Chicago’s predictive policing pilot (2016)
    Jessica Saunders, Priscillia Hunt, John S. Hollywood
     
  • To Predict and Serve? (2016)
    Human Rights Data Analysis Group
     
  • Predictive Policing: The Role of Crime Forecasting in Law Enforcement Operations (2013)
    Walter L. Perry, Brian McInnis, Carter C. Price, Susan Smith, John S. Hollywood
     
  • Predictive Policing and Reasonable Suspicion (2012)
    Andrew Ferguson
     
  • Fighting Crime in the Information Age: The Promise of Predictive Policing (2009)
    Sean Malinowski, William Bratton, John Morgan

 


ARCHIVE


 

  • Covid-19 Proves It's Time to Abolish 'Predictive' Policing Algorithms
    Hannah Sassaman
     
  • To Surveil and Predict: A Human Rights Analysis of Algorithmic Policing in Canada
    Kate Robertson, Cynthia Khoo, and Yolanda Song
     
  • Predictive Policing Algorithms Are Racist. They Need to Be Dismantled
    Will Douglas Heaven
     
  • Predictive Policing Explained
    Tim Lau
     
  • Police Surveillance in Chicago
    Lucy Parsons Labs
     
  • Chicago Police Announce New Gang Database as Leaders Hope to Answer Questions of Accuracy and Fairness
    Annie Sweeney and John Byrne
 


 

  • Do Algorithms Have a Place in Policing?
    Eva Moravec
     
  • Big Data Prosecution and Brady
    Andrew Ferguson
     
  • Privacy Asymmetries: Access to Data in the Criminal Justice System
    Rebecca Wexler
  • The Consequences of Automating and Deskilling the Police
    Elizabeth Joh

  • Group That Sued LAPD Over Controversial Data Policing Programs Claims Victory.
    Emma Morgan
     
  •  “'We’ve Got One in the Sweep:' Three Bronx friends recount their 2012 arrests in the NYPD’s ‘Operation Crew Cut,’ along with their experiences with the court system and incarceration, and reflect on their lives seven years later."
    Olivia Heffernan
      
  • Chicago Cops Use Social Media to Track Grieving Families of Gunshot Victims
    Elizabeth King
     
  • LAPD Pioneered Predicting Crime with Data. Many Police Don’t Think It Works
    Mark Puente
     
  • Academics Confirm Major Predictive Policing Algorithm is Fundamentally Flawed
    Caroline Haskins
     


 

  • Disparate Impact in Big Data Policing
    Andrew D. Selbst
     
  • Litigating Algorithms: Challenging Goverment Use of Algorithmic Decision Systems
    AI Now Institute
     
  • A Penalized Likelihood Method for Balancing Accuracy and Fairness in Predictive Policing
    George Mohler, Rajeev Raje, P Jeffrey Brantingham, Jeremy Carter, Matthew Valasik
     
  • The Exclusionary Rule in the Age of Blue Data
    Andrew Ferguson
     
  • Convicted Gang Leader Can Challenge NOPD's Use of Crime-Fighting Software
    Matt Sledge
     
  • The Logic of Data Bias and Its Impact on Place-Based Predictive Policing
    P Jeffrey Brantingham
     
  • Palantir has Secretly Been Using New Orleans to Test its Predictive Policing Technology
    Ali Winston
     
  • Does Predictive Policing Lead to Biased Arrests? Results From a Randomized Controlled Trial
    P Jeffrey Brantingham, Matthew Valasik, George Mohler
     


 

  • Life, Liberty, and Trade Secrets: Intellectual Property in the Criminal Justice System
    Rebecca Wexler
     
  • Policing Predictive Policing
    Andrew Ferguson
     
  • How Peter Thiel's Secretive Data Company Pushed Into Policing
    Mark Harris
     
  • The Contradictions of Chicago Police’s Secretive List
    Yana Kunichoff and Patrick Sier
  • Danger Ahead: Risk Assessment and the Future of Bail Reform
    John Logan Koepke and David G. Robinson
     

​​
 

  • Predictive Prosecution
    Andrew Ferguson
     
  • Policing the Future
    Maurice Chammah
     
  • L.A. Activists Want to Bring Surveillance Conversation Down to Earth
    Jenna McLaughlin
     
  • A Police Department's Secret Formula for Judging Danger
    Conor Friedersdorf
     
  • Predictions Put into Practice: A Quasi-Experimental Evaluation of Chicago’s Predictive Policing Pilot
    Jessica Saunders, Priscillia Hunt, and John S. Hollywood
     


 

  • The New Surveillance Discretion: Automated Suspicion, Big Data, and Policing
    Elizabeth Joh
     
  • Big Data and Predictive Reasonable Suspicion
    Andrew Ferguson

     

Need help with a predictive policing case?


The Center is available to provide consultations and litigation resources as well as direct assistance in support of a defendant’s Fourth Amendment claims. Specifically, the Center may assist in motion practice, preparation for suppression hearings, appellate strategy, brief writing, and oral argument. The Center also provides group trainings for defense lawyers around the country and upon request.

To request assistance or additional information, contact 4AC@nacdl.org.

 


 

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Strengthening the Sixth


The Center for Justice Innovation is a training and technical assistance provider to the Bureau of Justice Assistance through the Justice for All program. The Center for Justice Innovation (the Center) and its partner are managing, enhancing, and expanding the Strengthening the Sixth website. For more information about the Center, visit www.innovatingjustice.org. The Strengthening the Sixth Website is supported by Grant No. 15PBJA-22-GK-01567-JAGJ awarded by the Bureau of Justice Assistance. The Bureau of Justice Assistance is a component of the Department of Justice’s Office of Justice Programs, which also includes the Bureau of Justice Statistics, the National Institute of Justice, the Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention, the Office of Victims of Crimes, and the SMART Office. Points of view or opinions on this website do not necessarily represent the official position or policies of the U.S. Department of Justice. Neither the U.S. Department of Justice nor any of its components operate, control, are responsible for, or necessarily endorse this website, including, without limitations, its content, technical infrastructure, and policies, and any services or tools provided.